Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.069517 11.616702 13.277834 15.188731 17.320844 19.621167 22.285103
2025-08-31 7.580256 9.578089 11.880888 14.711657 18.076633 21.927029 26.642982
2025-09-07 6.318044 8.557315 11.279942 14.793695 19.164323 24.375722 31.008776
2025-09-14 5.388705 7.752601 10.761539 14.807189 20.031602 26.473052 34.927957
2025-09-21 4.733499 7.187521 10.440401 14.972687 21.016390 28.681565 39.004298
2025-09-28 4.148259 6.629531 10.046095 14.965883 21.721111 30.509580 42.618938
2025-10-05 3.788877 6.338288 9.968875 15.349339 22.925814 32.998988 47.149361
2025-10-12 3.447496 6.027930 9.823313 15.603301 23.936960 35.242216 51.408356
2025-10-19 3.108605 5.678842 9.581101 15.683061 24.682878 37.128073 55.225776
2025-10-26 2.698157 5.166491 9.042745 15.274871 24.686209 37.960121 57.597552
2025-11-02 2.369137 4.748355 8.607937 14.979211 24.816434 38.948629 60.190623
2025-11-09 2.077249 4.358281 8.179848 14.653941 24.867653 39.803124 62.596413
2025-11-16 1.823519 4.009025 7.792018 14.368995 24.968804 40.741055 65.171013
2025-11-23 1.572362 3.632475 7.322714 13.913198 24.770049 41.213701 67.068585
2025-11-30 1.435011 3.457054 7.184582 13.991547 25.408469 42.951890 70.873033
2025-12-07 1.303045 3.275348 7.017585 14.004435 25.932733 44.523042 74.462560
2025-12-14 1.204083 3.149201 6.939878 14.162507 26.694083 46.476173 78.676269
2025-12-21 1.094551 2.986007 6.777351 14.156008 27.173993 47.996152 82.260719
2025-12-28 1.038227 2.933562 6.822072 14.522311 28.293417 50.555740 87.513002
2026-01-04 0.972849 2.851996 6.801818 14.764953 29.206099 52.806531 92.336235
2026-01-11 0.896271 2.733790 6.697313 14.841165 29.828060 54.600167 96.479703
2026-01-18 0.784088 2.512202 6.360123 14.451169 29.606708 55.001462 98.412913
2026-01-25 0.693448 2.330654 6.089411 14.168738 29.557404 55.674885 100.787186